We all know about the protests in Hong Kong. I previously mentioned it is an opportunity lost. Let me elaborate more.
When the protests first started, it was a peaceful march. And that was what caught global attention, and that was what caught Beijing's attention. If the protests had remained peaceful, Beijing would have budged. Because a peaceful protest sends a very powerful message: that people are willing to come out to support a cause, and they are not afraid to show their support for that cause.
But then, certain radical elements hijacked the protests, adding a violent element to it. And that was when Beijing won. Because now, Beijing can label the protests as riots, the protesters are rioters, vandals, and criminals. And because violent protests are bad for business, Beijing knows that eventually, economics will help it bring an end to the protests. Violence and instability are bad for business. The reason why "rule of law" is so important is because it guarantees a certain level of stability, a certain level of certainty that allows businesses to base decisions on. When things become unstable and uncertain, businesses will start to pull out. Because the Hong Kong violent protests have shown businesses the possibility for instability. In the short-term, businesses may pressure employees to help persuade their friends and relatives to end the violence. But in the medium-to-long-term, they will start hunting for more stable ground, because who knows when the violence will return?
And as a city so linked to international business, when businesses start to leave Hong Kong due to the instability, only the Hong Kong people will suffer. Expats may leave, but they have homes to return to. Companies can shift their operations to Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou, etc. as Hong Kong is no longer the only nor best gateway into China. It is those people who are stuck in Hong Kong--the very protesters--that has the most to lose.
Yet, in their short-sightedness, they allowed the few radicals to hijack their cause, and turn it into a victory for China. When businesses leave Hong Kong for greener, more stable pastures, the Hong Kong people will be left with broken infrastructure and fewer job opportunities, and a long-term decline into insignificance.
And Beijing will be able to use Hong Kong as a message to everyone else: the Pearl of the Orient can become a pebble if it goes against the will of Beijing. All Beijing has to do is wait for the violence to continue, and let economics handle the rest.
And when the pearl becomes a pebble, Beijing will just kick it out of sight into the sea.
So is there a way out?
Yes. End the violence. Stop the burning and the trashing. Turn up in peace, show the world and Beijing that the Hong Kong people are capable of controlling themselves. This sends a much stronger message than Molotov cocktails and laser beams. It undermines Beijing's efforts to label the protests and protesters. It brings the moral high ground back to the protesters and their protests. And moral high ground is very important in the Chinese context. Beijing's efforts to delegitimize the protests and the protesters is about giving Beijing the moral high ground. Do not cede that to Beijing.
Show up in peace. Prevent violence. Two million people showing up on the streets for a cause is more fearful than 200,000 burning the streets of Hong Kong.
Actually, it is not really surprising. Especially because the only way to prove that he is charging the U.S. government "at cost" is to disclose financial details regarding the resort. And when that happens...
1. If he has overstated the resort's expenditure in the past to pay lower taxes, the discrepancy between a lower cost now compared to previous years will show. Then he gets investigated for tax fraud.
2. If he shows high costs for the resort, then people will question why the high costs, and why cheaper alternatives are not chosen. He will then need to further disclose the selection process and convince people that the selection process is fair by all standards, which may be hard to do based on costs alone. It will eventually link back to allegations that his is profiteering from this, and he gets investigated anyway.
And of course, there is always the chance that he gets impeached before G7, and ends up having to host Pence (or worse, Pelosi!) at his resort... at no profits for him! That would be a double whammy.
One wonders why Japan continues to stick to this past.
Our history makes us who we are. But it does not have to define our future. It does not have to dictate our actions. We cannot remake history, but we can learn from it. But learning from mistakes does not mean honoring those mistakes.
And we must remember: victims are the ones who remember transgressions the most vividly.
Just like how Japan continues to remember the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, the countries invaded by Japan will continue to remember Japan's invasion. When President Obama visited Hiroshima, he made headway. If Japan is able to take some form of substantial action to show the countries invaded that Japan is truly remorseful, there will be headway made in mending those relationships.
But until then, those countries will continue to remember.
And the day may come when some will find ways to regain face lost. What will Japan do then, when it is the one losing face?
We all have different ways of doing things. A system of such ways can be thought of as a model. Like the U.S. model of democratic political system. Or the Chinese model of economic development. And inherently, we all want to implement good and successful models, because such ways of doing things improve lives for everyone under that model.
The controversy is in the way that such models spread beyond those who came up with them.
There is no dispute that the U.S. model for economic development is successful and proven. It is, after all, the top economy in the world. The Chinese model, too, has been proven to work well. The difference, then, is in the way these model are spread.
The U.S. takes an active approach toward spreading its model, plus accompanying models like its model for political system. The starting point is good; the U.S. only wants others to benefit from its successful model. The issue, though, is with the way the U.S. tries to spread its model. This active approach, which borders on coercion and sometimes, even forceful implementation (think Iraq) tends to leave a bad after taste. Yes, those societies may be better off implementing the U.S. models. But the unwilling are not going to thank the U.S. for it; they will only remember being forced to do things.
The Chinese way of doing things, on the other hand, is a lot more passive. Unlike the U.S., China does not actively seek to export its models of doing things. Instead, it seems to think that if its models are good, people will copy them on their own. The Chinese seem to think that the best way to spread its models is to make them successful, and show people the models' successes.
A quick dive into history, and we see a bit of link with belief systems. Christianity takes a more proactive approach toward converting people. The Western powers have a history of proselytizing, which is basically spreading their model of belief to others (and yes, sometimes by force). Contrast this with China, which, in the past, has been more of a "if you like Confucianism, you are free to take it back with you" approach toward spreading its belief system. This, of course, probably has more to do with the Confucian thinking about setting good examples. Here, we see how traditional Chinese thought continues to influence modern-day actions.
There is no right and wrong way of spreading good and successful models. But the way we do things is very much rooted in our culture.
A favorite poem, with a present-day presentation. I really love the way it was arranged and expressed; I think it really brought out the meaning and emotions of the poem.
In human history, we have a tendency to use division to win. We highlight differences so that we can divide into "us" and "them". This division forces people to choose sides (hopefully, they choose "us") so that we can then harness the "us" to fight the "them".
For example, ancient China divides between "civilised China" and the "barbarians". For centuries and centuries, China continued to fight against the "barbarians", sometimes winning, sometimes losing. We even see this during the early 20th century, as Westerners are labeled as "foreign devils".
The U.S., of course, is no stranger to this. In its early days, every native American was an "Indian" to be afraid of, to fight for the land with. During the Cold War, countries were either with the U.S., or with the Soviets. (There were also Third World countries who sought to stay out of the Cold War by not aligning with either side.)
Today, we see this behaviour in U.S. politics, as Trump seeks to divide the nation into "us" and "them". On the international stage, he again divides between "us" and "them" by pursuing an "America First" policy that separates the U.S. from the rest of the world.
But is "divide to win" the only way? Or the best way?
Maybe I am idealistic, but I believe that we all have differences. And it is this diversity that makes the human race so resilient and strong. Instead of exploiting our differences so that we can win at the expense of others, should we not be trying to find common ground so that we can develop win-win solutions?
And if there are better models, what is the implication of their very existence? Does it mean the human brain can further evolve to that better model? Or does it mean that there may be a day when intelligent life based on this other model can appear?
And finally, my biggest fear: uncurbed, we will one day develop machines that are so intelligent, they no longer need human beings for their further development. They can develop themselves into even better and better versions able to do more and more things. Will we then find ourselves as second-class citizens of our own societies?
Recently, there is another article that came out about whether we should be worried about AI.
The article reflects my thoughts, and I shall leave readers to digest for themselves the arguments brought forth.
Just remember, any intelligence, organic or inorganic, is still intelligence as defined by our understanding. And when there are more than one intelligent species on Earth, we need to think about how we will go about sharing the limited resources on hand.
Machines that help us in our lives can help improve them. But machines capable of replacing us in certain fields... how do we make sure they do not replace us in other fields? How do we make sure they do not end up replacing us totally?
I know, this is very very controversial. But if you really think about it, as an ideology, there is nothing good or bad about communism. After all, good and bad, right and wrong, these are value judgments, and depend on the values of the person making that judgment.
So why have we come to this "communism is bad" thinking?
Blame the U.S. And the Soviets. I think the reason why "communism is bad" came about because of its association with the Soviets. If you really think about it, it is not communism that is bad; it is Stalinism that the U.S. was really targeting. But because the ideology became a synonym for its implementation, it came to become the "evil" that needs to be defeated.
And along with such a thinking, every other country that practises communism. Like North Vietnam, and China. Leading the U.S. to see the Vietnam War as a contest of ideologies, when it is really a contest for national independence. Leading the U.S. to see China as an enemy, when China shares so many similarities with the U.S. Like developed cities along the coast, with a poorer inland population. The income divide between the racial majority and the racial minorities.
It also allows the U.S. to conveniently work with autocratic, and even oppressive, regimes as long as they go under the names of "democracies".
A "democracy" can offer less freedom for its people than the Chinese government. The important thing is not to look at labels, which are convenient, but to actually see what is the reality, and base our judgments on facts, on what is being practised. We should be trying to find similarities between peoples and nations so that we can use those similarities to help us work together. We should not be focusing on our differences and using those differences to divide us and them.
When we focus on differences, and use that to shut people out, to exclude them, we alienate them, forcing them to find alternatives, other ways of doing things which are detrimental to us, further reinforcing our "correctness" in shutting them out in the first place. This is just a negative self-fulfilling prophecy.
Humanity can be so much stronger, if only we work on bringing people together to unite our strengths, rather than focusing our energy on pushing people apart.
It is extremely sad to see minorities being targeted.
As the supposed leader of the free world, the U.S. has called on the Chinese government to stop its repression of minorities.
Locking up native minorities in camps, taking over their lands, pushing them into corners, widening income gap between the native minorities and the newcomers... this may sound like Xinjiang in 2019, but one must remember that this was also the case with the U.S and the native Americans. And is still the case, as native Americans continue to be segregated in reserves, their lands in the hands of the white men who came from across the seas.
After pushing the native Americans off their own lands, and developing it into their own booming economy, the newcomers are not going to just "give the land back" to the native Americans, right? Expecting the Han Chinese who have moved into Xinjiang to do the same with the Uighurs is similarly wishful thinking.
Telling others "What you are doing is wrong, stop it" is one thing. But another better way of doing things is to set an example, and show people "This is how you should be living in harmony with the native minorities in co-prosperity." If the U.S. can do that, it will be the true leader of a democratic system which believes in equality and human rights.
Until such a day comes, people in glass houses should not be throwing stones at others.
As some may know, I have been working on a 3D printer control board based on the ESP32 microcontroller. It basically allows control of the 3D printer via any web browser. The underlying firmware is a custom fork of Marlin, while the web interface is the ESP3D webUI.
Recently, the webUI has been expanded to allow the handling of custom commands sent from the firmware using M118 gcodes. For example, M118 [esp3d]eop
will print the message [esp3d]eop
on the serial interface, telling the webUI the print has been completed ("eop" for "end of print"), triggering the webUI to play a short beep. This is a useful command that can be added to your end gcode.
Another custom command is M118 [esp3d]beep(1000,300)
while will tell the webUI to play a sound of 300Hz for 1s (1000ms).
Right now, these are the only two custom commands that have been included in the webUI. But users are free to modify the custom.js file to add in addition commands that they want the webUI to handle. You can see how the above two commands were implemented in the file, and modify it to suit your needs. BTW, the webUI works on other hardware that runs the ESP3D firmware too.
Hong Kong continues to be in turmoil as protesters continue to take to the streets with their five demands. But the problem is, some of the protesters are more violent than others, and we have seen cases of people being beaten, property destroyed (smashed or set on fire), and clashes with the police. Yes, the protesters don't have firearms, but blunt weapons like metal pipes can still deliver fatal blows. And they have Molotov cocktails too.
So it was big news when the police shot one of the protesters with a live round. The global media basically exploded with "Police shot protester" headlines and news. The initial coverage seemed like the police using disproportionate force.
Until the video of what happened before the shooting came out.
And then, people see that it was the protesters who were being extremely violent, assaulting a lone policeman with blunt weapons like metal pipes and hammers. When other policemen turned up to assist, the protesters attacked them too. Which led to the shooting.
Such news coverage brings to question the protesters' legitimacy. One of their demands was about police violence. But with such a video now, it would seem that the police are not the violent ones, have been exercising restraint, and any use of force was in self-defence.
It also brings into question the global media's past coverage of the protest. Had the media been too one-sided in its coverage, playing up the legitimacy of the protesters while purposely trying to portray the Hong Kong government and police in a more negative light? Can we trust the media to be unbiased in its reporting?
Whatever the case, the violence of the protesters cannot be denied, with subway stations being torn apart and set on fire. Public buildings being attacked. Vandalism, destruction of public and private property, trespassing, the list of crimes goes on. And anyone who condones such action cannot be said to be a law-abiding person, cannot be said to be someone who promotes the rule of law.
The moment the protest turn violent was the moment the protesters lost their legitimacy, their morale high ground. Now, they are just a bunch of thugs sticking together so that they cannot be caught and tried. If they had not turned violent, they stood a chance. Now, everything is just going to go downhill.
This article is actually got an insightful read on why Singapore was able to survive through independence while Hong Kong is in a totally different scenario. Geographically, Peninsula Malaysia is Singapore's hinterland, but Singapore has never been very reliant on its hinterland, instead trying to source for resources from further away. As an international port who main purpose was to move goods, the focus has always been further away.
But Hong Kong is a different place. It served as a gateway for the West into China, and as such, there has always been that strong relationship with its hinterland, China. Even during British rule, Hong Kong businessmen have ventured into China in search of cheaper labour. This is all the more after the handing back of Hong Kong; Hong Kong is economically tied so closely to China that it is hard to imagine how an independent Hong Kong can survive. Remember, China is not reliant on Hong Kong; it now has other ports for international trade, other outlets for the products of its Guangzhou manufacturing sector. But Hong Kong has no other hinterland, and on its own, no resources to speak of. With the door to China closed, how many will continue to see Hong Kong as a beneficial trading partner?
So while I applaud the protesters for their determination to get greater freedom from Beijing, I think they need to think through about what is the final shape of things that they want. "Five demands" is not the endgame, and it serves no logical end except as a "feel-good" thing for the protesters. If they are really serious about effecting political change for the better of their society, they need to come up with a plan, not demands. Giving demands, and then bashing things up when the demands are not met... that's like a kid in a toy store, smashing toys in the store until the parents give in and buy the kid a toy.
And the longer this drags on, the worse it gets for the protesters, not Beijing. The protesters are making life difficult for the people of Hong Kong. In the beginning, they may have public sentiments on their side, but as inconvenience drags, and business starts to become adversely affected, there will be rising public resentment instead. The protesters should have sat down and tried to negotiate a better deal the moment Carrie Lam relented. That was the lost opportunity. Now, that opportunity is lost, and as time goes by, the attention of the global media will be drawn to other new things, and soon, the protesters will be left forgotten, their cause unfulfilled.
They didn't see the opportunity, and now have lost it. All that remains is for the media attention to die down, and this protest will be like a fire, slowing dying out after consuming everything within its reach.
And then, the Beijing hammer will strike down hard. And the protesters will have no one but themselves to blame. For they were the ones who lost that opportunity for a better deal.
Please leave a comment if you are interested in commissioning a piece of calligraphy or want to purchase any of the calligraphy works I have posted on this blog.